Powered by the Pravo Intelligence Hub Welcome to the Ukraine Bulletin, your investor-focused briefing on the latest geopolitical, military, economic, and business developments in Ukraine.

In this episode, hosts Dmytro and Yuliia analyze Ukraine’s Operation Operation Spiderweb:

• Operation Spiderweb: Ukraine’s SBU claims it has damaged or destroyed over 40 Russian strategic bombers in a coordinated drone operation. OSINT has visually confirmed at least 7 losses so far. These include Tu-95MS and Tu-22M3 aircraft central to Russia’s long-range missile strikes. The operation significantly degrades Russia’s ability to launch cruise missile attacks, reducing threats to Ukrainian cities.
• Targeting the Archer: After enduring weeks of overwhelming missile and drone barrages, Ukraine is now hitting the platforms that launch them. Analysts suggest this move could force Russia to reassess its escalation calculus — especially as the bombers targeted are also part of its nuclear triad.
• Escalatory Signaling Expected: Moscow is likely to respond with strategic messaging and attempts to portray the operation as a dangerous escalation. Potential diplomatic fallout could impact Trump-led peace initiatives, with Russia expected to exploit the moment to reframe its global narrative.
• Strategic Deterrence Rewritten: By striking deep inside Russian airbases, Ukraine has redefined the rules of engagement. While the full impact remains to be seen, the message is clear: Ukraine is prepared to disable the sources of destruction — not just intercept them.
• June 2nd Istanbul Talks: Ukraine submits memorandum, but no progress except a new swap deal.

Referenced Sources:

• BBC – Russian bombers struck in Ukraine drone assault (bbc.com)
• Reuters – Kyiv drone strike sets fire to Russian airbase (reuters.com)
• Guardian – Ukraine claims damage to over 40 Russian aircraft (theguardian.com)
• Kyiv Independent – SBU on strategic aviation operation (kyivindependent.com)
• Kyiv Independent – Ukraine, Russia end second round of peace talks, no ceasefire achieved (kyivindependent.com)
• Ukraine's Operation Spiderweb: When There Are Too Many Arrows, Target the Archer: Satellite & OSINT assessment by Pravo Intelligence Hub

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