In the past 48 hours, the landscape of terrorist threats in the United States has remained highly complex and volatile, reflecting broader trends that have been escalating over the past few years.
U.S. intelligence agencies are entering 2025 with a heightened sense of alert, particularly in light of the upcoming transition of power with President-elect Trump set to return to office. This transition has raised concerns about a potential spike in domestic terrorism, given the highly polarized political environment. The January 6 insurrection four years ago marked a significant turning point, and since then, domestic terrorism has continued to be one of the most pressing threats facing the country[1].
Recently, in mid-December, the FBI made a significant arrest in Virginia, seizing the largest cache of homemade explosives ever recorded by the Bureau. The individual, Brad Spafford, was found to be in possession of these explosives and had used photos of President Biden for target practice, suggesting a dangerous level of intent and radicalization[1].
The threat landscape is diverse and multifaceted, with threats emanating from across the ideological spectrum. Domestic violent extremists (DVEs), including those motivated by racial bias, anti-government sentiments, or other grievances, have become increasingly prominent. The number of domestic terrorist attacks and plots targeting government institutions due to partisan political motivations has nearly tripled over the past five years compared to the previous 25 years, according to a report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies[1].
The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has issued an updated National Terrorism Advisory System (NTAS) Bulletin, highlighting the continued heightened threat environment. This environment is fueled by factors such as the spread of false or misleading narratives and conspiracy theories online, which can exacerbate societal friction and encourage unrest. Lone offenders and small groups motivated by ideological beliefs or personal grievances remain a persistent and lethal threat, often targeting public gatherings, faith-based institutions, schools, and government facilities[2].
The global context also plays a significant role, with the ongoing war in the Middle East and recent terrorist attacks by Hamas and other groups contributing to increased tensions. These events have led to a rise in antisemitism and Islamophobia in the United States, further complicating the domestic terrorism landscape[1].
Federal agencies have been actively working to combat these threats. The FBI has been cracking down on far-right groups, including transnational organizations like The Base and the Atomwaffen Division. However, challenges persist, such as the ongoing search for the individual who planted pipe bombs near the Republican and Democratic National Committee headquarters in Washington D.C. the day before the January 6 insurrection[1].
In summary, the United States remains in a heightened state of alert regarding terrorist threats, with domestic terrorism posing a significant and evolving danger. The combination of ideological extremism, personal grievances, and global events continues to create a complex and dynamic threat environment that federal agencies are diligently working to address.