If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below:
http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/

For a week when the labor market and its data are in the bright, blaring spotlight, it did NOT get off to a good start. Not only ADP, also ISM. Both together showed the economy continued losing momentum and vitality in May - even with tariff delays and a stock market rebound. Both ended p with some of the worst numbers for each in years.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

ADP May 2025
https://adpemploymentreport.com/

Bloomberg US Hiring Cools to Slowest Pace in Two Years, ADP Data Show
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-04/us-hiring-falls-to-slowest-pace-in-two-years-adp-data-show

Bloomberg US Services Activity Contracts for First Time in Nearly a Yearhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-04/us-services-activity-contracts-for-first-time-in-nearly-a-year

CNBC Trump says ‘Too Late’ Powell must lower interest rates after weak ADP jobs report
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/04/trump-powell-adp-jobs.html

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Why are swap spreads today as negative as they had been in the worst parts of April? Why is Swiss franc nearly as strong? Consumer prices undershooting and even turning negative offer a bigtime clue. As does the latest from Chinese and American factories. It’s not one big thing like April, it’s all the little things which keep coming up and piling on.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Bloomberg Swiss Inflation Turns Negative for First Time in Four Years
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-03/swiss-inflation-turns-negative-for-first-time-in-four-years

Bloomberg Euro-Zone Inflation Slows Below 2%, Backing More ECB Cuts
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-03/euro-zone-inflation-slows-below-2-backing-more-ecb-rate-cuts

Bloomberg RBA’s Hunter Sees US Tariffs Dragging on Australian Growth, Jobs
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-03/rba-s-hunter-sees-us-tariffs-dragging-on-australian-growth-jobs

OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2025 Issue 1
https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-economic-outlook-volume-2025-issue-1_83363382-en.html

CNBC U.S. growth forecast cut sharply by OECD as Trump tariffs sour global outlook
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/03/us-growth-forecast-cut-further-by-oecd-as-trump-tariffs-sour-outlook.html

Bloomberg China’s Private Factory Gauge Plunges to Weakest Since 2022
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-03/china-private-factory-gauge-unexpectedly-shrinks-after-us-truce

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below:
http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/

Several more countries around the world are reporting contractions in GDP even before getting to trade wars and any tariff impacts. The latest cluster around Scandinavia and have European banks overall behaving in very curious ways. So much so, the typically hands-off ECB is writing letters to them and threatening on-site visits to get some answers before the economy really takes its turn.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Bloomberg Sweden’s Surprise Economic Contraction Boosts Rate Cut Odds
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-30/swedish-economy-unexpectedly-shrinks-weighed-down-by-investment

Bloomberg ECB Steps Up Scrutiny of Banks’ Exposure to Private Markets
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-30/ecb-intensifies-scrutiny-of-banks-exposure-to-private-markets

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU